What can gender quotas teach
us about democracy?
Gender quotas, or a minimum
requirement of female participation in the political process, have recently
become a very popular tool in developing countries. In places like sub-Saharan
Africa, the majority of countries now have some sort of gender quota; while the
vast majority of developed countries do not (Bush). What
remains to be studied thoroughly is the effect of these quotas on the general
perception of the citizens in these countries. In other words, are these quotas
being implemented in order for countries to appear more democratic, or for some
other reason? Quotas are commonly dismissed because they are often not met,
even when constitutionally mandated, and are frequently seen as a façade put on
by autocratic leaders to appear democratic in order to garner international
support (Quota Project). However, the results of my study show that on
a general level, this assumption is not true. Furthermore, the results of my
study can pinpoint the groups most significantly affected by the implementation
of gender quotas.
Data
In order to
determine how democratic people perceived their country, I gathered data from a
public opinion survey given in several sub-Saharan African countries. The
survey was given in 5 rounds and is available at www.afrobarometer.org. Since
the survey was given in five rounds, I was able to track the changes in
perception over time and then relate those changes with when the country
implemented a gender quota. For example, Lesotho adopted a gender quota between
rounds after round 3 of the survey, but before round 4. Therefore, I could
assume correlation between gender quotas and perceived democracy if I saw an increase
in perceived democracy in Lesotho after round three. The graph below shows
average responses for each country in each round of the survey. The question
was, “How democratic do you perceive your country?” The respondents could
answer from 1 to 4 with 1 being the least democratic and 4 being the most
democratic.
Results
As the
graph indicates, there was no obvious relationship between gender quotas and
perceived democracy. However, I had wanted to find that gender quotas
increased, or at least affected, the level of perceived democracy, and so I
continued the study with a statistical analysis.
I first
studied the countries and rounds as a whole unit. One of the most significant
findings of this research was a negative change between rounds 2 and 3 of the
survey. In other words, something caused people to view their countries as less
democratic between those two rounds. I took this information and discovered
that every country with a gender quota in my study adopted that gender quota after round 2. This means that while
gender quotas may not have directly affected perceived democracy, they might
have been used as a tool to combat a negative perception of democracy.
However, I also gathered more
individual data on the respondents. This not only allowed me to specifically
highlight the effect of quotas, but also allowed me to show if there were any
specific groups that were more prone to view their country as democratic than
other groups. I used several indicators for this analysis including age, level
of education, urban or rural dwelling, perceived relative economic status, and
overall interest in public affairs. By using all of these variables, the
results of my research changed drastically.
Several other significant variables
stood out in the results of this study. The first was age. The results showed
that younger women perceived their countries as slightly less democratic than
older women. While this finding is important, the difference between the two
groups was very small and therefore does not say much about the effect of age
on perceived democracy. Both relative living conditions and interest in public
affairs had a positive effect on democracy. That is, those who perceived their
living conditions as better than their neighbors perceived more democracy in
the country. The same was true for those who were more interested in public
affairs. Finally, and not surprisingly, the results showed that those who lived
in more urban areas, presumably closer to government municipalities, perceived
less democracy. This is probably due to their proximity to the corruption in
government.
Education, however, was the most
significant indicator in all of my results. I found that more educated women
were less likely to perceive their countries as democratic. This finding was
very interesting because it implies that as women are more educated, they are
able to see deficiencies in their governments more clearly. These deficiencies cause
these women to perceive less democracy. The hope would be that education would
not just cause women to see these deficiencies, but also that it would motivate
them to do something about them. With a stronger, more educated female
population, government corruption in places like sub-Saharan Africa could
decrease dramatically.
Conclusion
While I was not able to conclude
that gender quotas increase the perception of democracy, this study still
provided meaningful lessons. First, gender quotas may often be used as a tool
to combat negative perceptions. Second, while other variables like age and
living conditions are important, the best way to affect the perception of
democracy, and hopefully enact more democratic policies, is to educate the
women of developing countries.
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