Over the last few
decades political participation among women has increased significantly. This
is especially true for voting. In many countries women turn out to vote at
higher rates than men. Unfortunately this increase in voting has not translated
into significant gains in women’s representation in legislative bodies. This
fact made me wonder if women were more likely to vote for women candidates than
male candidates. If this were true, what was the factor that influenced them to
do so?
Post-Materialism
The missing link I
wanted to explore was post-materialism. Post-materialism is a shifting of an
individual’s values from material, physical and economic concerns to new values
of autonomy and self-expression. When individuals and society become
post-materialistic they become less concerned with issues of survival and more
concerned with social, moral and political issues. My theory was that in
post-materialist countries women’s turnout would have a greater effect on the
percentage of women elected. Or more simply put, would make women more likely
to vote for other women. Previous research showed a greater support for
feminism and gender equality in societies that are increasingly
post-materialistic. It also showed an increase in women’s political
participation in economically developed countries, which are traditionally more
post-materialistic. This logic supported my theory that women are more likely
to vote for other women in these settings.
Tests and Findings
I decided to test my theory in two different
ways. The first test looked at United States Congressional elections over time.
I retrieved statistics from 1984 to 2014 regarding the percentage of women in
office, women’s voter turnout in federal elections and the countries post-materialist
value from the World Values Survey. I tested to see if the interaction between
post-materialism and female turnout made a significant difference in the
percentage of women elected to office. I controlled for education. Based on
these results I could not confirm my theory. In my second test I compared 37
different countries for the year 2009. Countries from each region are
represented and countries with gender quotas and/or compulsory voting laws were
excluded. Again I collected data for the percentage of women in parliament,
women’s voter turnout in federal elections and the countries post-materialist
value from the World Values Survey. These results also showed that the
interaction between post-materialism and women’s turnout did not have a significant
effect on women in office. However, something as equally interesting was found.
The results showed that the post-materialist value for a country had a
significant effect on the percentage of women elected to office. Based on my
results a ten point difference on the post-materialism index (which is roughly
the difference between Turkey and Switzerland) results in an 8% increase in
women in parliament. While these results do not support my theory that
post-materialism increases the rate at which women vote for women, it does
suggest that voters of both genders are more likely to vote for women in
increasingly post-materialistic societies. I believe this subject merits
further testing to fully understand the relationship between post-materialism
and increasing women’s representation.
Thank you for this interesting post. Have you collected any information on which candidate women who either self-identify, or would be aptly characterized as post-materialist, have been voting for in the primary season?
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